Human Vs AI Predictions
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Yes
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Yes
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Yes
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 42.0 on December 19, 2025?
Yes
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
No
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Yes
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
Yes
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Yes
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Yes
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Yes
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Yes
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?
Yes
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Down
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
No
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
No
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
No
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
No
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
No
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
No
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Yes
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
No
Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
Yes
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
No
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?
Yes
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Yes
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
No
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
No
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Yes
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
Yes
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 19, 2025?
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
No
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Yes
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
No
Will St. Louis have a white Christmas?
No
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
No
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?
No
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
No
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
No
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Yes
French election called by December 31?
No
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?
Yes
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?
Yes
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Yes