Grok 预测(已排除)
展示被规则/模型排除的题目及排除原因(便于人工排查误杀)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.027\", \"0.973\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia", "outcome_prices": [0.027, 0.973], "max_price": 0.973}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia", "outcome_prices": [0.0105, 0.9895], "max_price": 0.9895}
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia", "outcome_prices": [0.0025, 0.9975], "max_price": 0.9975}
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?price_gt_0_9
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia", "outcome_prices": [0.005, 0.995], "max_price": 0.995}
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia", "outcome_prices": [0.004, 0.996], "max_price": 0.996}
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0175\", \"0.9825\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia", "outcome_prices": [0.0175, 0.9825], "max_price": 0.9825}
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiatopic_sports
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiatopic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.445\", \"0.555\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题是关于体育赛事(男子组瑞士对阵捷克的比赛),属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?price_gt_0_9
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?", "outcome_prices": [0.0045, 0.9955], "max_price": 0.9955}
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.015\", \"0.985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?", "outcome_prices": [0.015, 0.985], "max_price": 0.985}
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.025\", \"0.975\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.025, 0.975], "max_price": 0.975}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0825\", \"0.9175\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0825, 0.9175], "max_price": 0.9175}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?numeric_threshold
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.226\", \"0.774\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题询问Elon Musk在指定时间段内的推文数量是否处于260-279的区间,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?", "outcome_prices": [0.006, 0.994], "max_price": 0.994}
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?", "outcome_prices": [0.0085, 0.9915], "max_price": 0.9915}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?", "outcome_prices": [0.006, 0.994], "max_price": 0.994}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.011\", \"0.989\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?", "outcome_prices": [0.011, 0.989], "max_price": 0.989}
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?numeric_threshold
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题包含“Odds >5%”的阈值比较,属于需排除的阈值/比较型"}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.974\", \"0.026\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs", "outcome_prices": [0.974, 0.026], "max_price": 0.974}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs", "outcome_prices": [0.006, 0.994], "max_price": 0.994}
Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?price_gt_0_9
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs", "outcome_prices": [0.007, 0.993], "max_price": 0.993}
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?price_gt_0_9
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 February 9-15?price_gt_0_9
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 February 9-15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffstopic_sports
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffstopic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及LoL(英雄联盟)赛事(Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming的BO5比赛,属于LCP季后赛),属于体育范畴,符合排除条件"}
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?numeric_threshold
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.192\", \"0.808\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题询问Elon Musk在特定时间段内的发推数量是否处于240-259的区间,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?", "outcome_prices": [0.0045, 0.9955], "max_price": 0.9955}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.008\", \"0.992\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?", "outcome_prices": [0.008, 0.992], "max_price": 0.992}
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?", "outcome_prices": [0.0085, 0.9915], "max_price": 0.9915}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?", "outcome_prices": [0.0035, 0.9965], "max_price": 0.9965}
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?numeric_threshold
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.555\", \"0.445\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是判断MegaETH市值(FDV)在 launch 后一天是否超过$1B,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germanytopic_sports
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germanytopic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.895\", \"0.105\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题是关于体育比赛(男子C组美国队对阵德国队)的内容,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?price_gt_0_9
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0155\", \"0.9845\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0155, 0.9845], "max_price": 0.9845}
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.4%?price_gt_0_9
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.4%?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0445, 0.9555], "max_price": 0.9555}
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?price_gt_0_9
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?", "outcome_prices": [0.006, 0.994], "max_price": 0.994}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?", "outcome_prices": [0.007, 0.993], "max_price": 0.993}
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?numeric_metric
Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?numeric_metric
盘口快照
"[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"metric","reason":"问题主要预测以太坊价格(量化指标)在2月15日的涨跌情况,属于预测量化指标本身"}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.006, 0.994], "max_price": 0.994}
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0175\", \"0.9825\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0175, 0.9825], "max_price": 0.9825}
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0245, 0.9755], "max_price": 0.9755}
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerprice_gt_0_9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9965\", \"0.0035\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.9965, 0.0035], "max_price": 0.9965}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.016\", \"0.984\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.016, 0.984], "max_price": 0.984}
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0955\", \"0.9045\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0955, 0.9045], "max_price": 0.9045}
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0025, 0.9975], "max_price": 0.9975}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0095, 0.9905], "max_price": 0.9905}
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?price_gt_0_9
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0075\", \"0.9925\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0075, 0.9925], "max_price": 0.9925}
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?numeric_threshold
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题询问比特币是否达到72000美元,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?numeric_threshold
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.1205\", \"0.8795\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测以太坊是否跌到1600美元,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0085, 0.9915], "max_price": 0.9915}
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0395, 0.9605], "max_price": 0.9605}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0185\", \"0.9815\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0185, 0.9815], "max_price": 0.9815}
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.005, 0.995], "max_price": 0.995}
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?price_gt_0_9
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0185\", \"0.9815\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0185, 0.9815], "max_price": 0.9815}
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0035, 0.9965], "max_price": 0.9965}
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.018, 0.982], "max_price": 0.982}
Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?numeric_metric
Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?numeric_metric
盘口快照
"[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"metric","reason":"问题主要预测以太坊价格(量化指标)的涨跌,属于指标型排除情况"}
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?price_gt_0_9
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?price_gt_0_9
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.002\", \"0.998\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?", "outcome_prices": [0.002, 0.998], "max_price": 0.998}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?numeric_threshold
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测比特币价格是否超过70000美元,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?price_gt_0_9
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.055, 0.945], "max_price": 0.945}
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?price_gt_0_9
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0515\", \"0.9485\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0515, 0.9485], "max_price": 0.9485}
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0145, 0.9855], "max_price": 0.9855}
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.065, 0.935], "max_price": 0.935}
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?price_gt_0_9
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0035, 0.9965], "max_price": 0.9965}
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?topic_sports
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?topic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.29\", \"0.71\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题是关于2026年冬季奥运会男子冰球项目金牌归属的预测,属于体育话题,符合排除范围"}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0035, 0.9965], "max_price": 0.9965}
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)price_gt_0_9
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?price_gt_0_9
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.024\", \"0.976\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.024, 0.976], "max_price": 0.976}
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?numeric_metric
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?numeric_metric
盘口快照
"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"metric","reason":"问题主要预测比特币价格(量化指标)的涨跌情况,属于指标型问题"}
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0135\", \"0.9865\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0135, 0.9865], "max_price": 0.9865}
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0135\", \"0.9865\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0135, 0.9865], "max_price": 0.9865}
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?price_gt_0_9
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0035, 0.9965], "max_price": 0.9965}
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0105, 0.9895], "max_price": 0.9895}
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?price_gt_0_9
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?topic_sports
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?topic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及2026年冬季奥运会美国获得最多奖牌的预测,属于体育话题,在排除范围内"}
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.068\", \"0.932\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.068, 0.932], "max_price": 0.932}
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0085, 0.9915], "max_price": 0.9915}
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.012\", \"0.988\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.012, 0.988], "max_price": 0.988}
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.017, 0.983], "max_price": 0.983}
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0255, 0.9745], "max_price": 0.9745}
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?price_gt_0_9
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0085, 0.9915], "max_price": 0.9915}
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0025, 0.9975], "max_price": 0.9975}
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.009\", \"0.991\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.009, 0.991], "max_price": 0.991}
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0045, 0.9955], "max_price": 0.9955}
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?topic_sports
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?topic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.835\", \"0.165\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及2026年冬季奥运会挪威赢得最多奖牌的预测,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?numeric_threshold
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测Bitcoin价格在2月15日是否高于或低于基准(如前一日价格),属于阈值/比较型"}
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?topic_sports
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?topic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及Club Atlético de Madrid(马德里竞技队)的赛事结果预测,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffstopic_sports
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffstopic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.615\", \"0.385\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题是关于英雄联盟(LoL)LCK Cup Playoffs的电竞比赛,属于体育范畴,符合排除条件"}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerprice_gt_0_9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.998\", \"0.002\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.998, 0.002], "max_price": 0.998}
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0195\", \"0.9805\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0195, 0.9805], "max_price": 0.9805}
Will Taro Kono be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?price_gt_0_9
Will Taro Kono be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.001\", \"0.999\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.001, 0.999], "max_price": 0.999}
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9825\", \"0.0175\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.9825, 0.0175], "max_price": 0.9825}
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?price_gt_0_9
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.063\", \"0.937\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.063, 0.937], "max_price": 0.937}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?numeric_threshold
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测比特币是否跌到60000美元,属于阈值/比较型问题,符合排除条件"}
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?numeric_threshold
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题询问比特币是否达到80000美元,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0155\", \"0.9845\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0155, 0.9845], "max_price": 0.9845}
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0065, 0.9935], "max_price": 0.9935}
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0195\", \"0.9805\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0195, 0.9805], "max_price": 0.9805}
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?topic_sports
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?topic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.545\", \"0.455\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及2026年冬季奥运会男子冰球项目,属于体育话题,符合排除范围"}
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0295, 0.9705], "max_price": 0.9705}
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0055, 0.9945], "max_price": 0.9945}
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerprice_gt_0_9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9955\", \"0.0045\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.9955, 0.0045], "max_price": 0.9955}
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?numeric_threshold
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.525\", \"0.475\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测比特币是否在2月达到75000美元,属于阈值/比较型(是否达到X),符合排除条件"}
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsprice_gt_0_9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.998\", \"0.002\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.998, 0.002], "max_price": 0.998}
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?price_gt_0_9
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?price_gt_0_9
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.996\", \"0.004\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.996, 0.004], "max_price": 0.996}
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.973\", \"0.027\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.973, 0.027], "max_price": 0.973}
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0395, 0.9605], "max_price": 0.9605}
Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.002\", \"0.998\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.002, 0.998], "max_price": 0.998}
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?price_gt_0_9
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.055, 0.945], "max_price": 0.945}
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?price_gt_0_9
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0035, 0.9965], "max_price": 0.9965}
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.026\", \"0.974\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.026, 0.974], "max_price": 0.974}
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?price_gt_0_9
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?price_gt_0_9
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.01, 0.99], "max_price": 0.99}
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?price_gt_0_9
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?price_gt_0_9
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0275\", \"0.9725\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0275, 0.9725], "max_price": 0.9725}
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0025, 0.9975], "max_price": 0.9975}
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 26-1?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 26-1?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?numeric_threshold
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.11\", \"0.89\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是判断白银价格是否在二月底前达到140美元,属于阈值/比较型问题,符合排除条件"}
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?price_gt_0_9
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leylah Fernandez", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 26-1?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 26-1?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leylah Fernandez", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leylah Fernandeztopic_sports
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leylah Fernandeztopic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open网球赛事,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0135\", \"0.9865\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?", "outcome_prices": [0.0135, 0.9865], "max_price": 0.9865}
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?topic_sports
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?topic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.818\", \"0.182\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及体育比赛(Beast Games: Season 2)的选手胜负预测,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?numeric_threshold
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.898\", \"0.102\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测 deport 人数是否在250,000-500,000区间,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?price_gt_0_9
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?", "outcome_prices": [0.0055, 0.9945], "max_price": 0.9945}
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?price_gt_0_9
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 2?price_gt_0_9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 2?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?numeric_threshold
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.35\", \"0.65\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题询问比特币是否在2月达到85000美元,属于阈值/比较型问题,符合排除条件"}
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?price_gt_0_9
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)price_gt_0_9
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?numeric_threshold
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测比特币是否跌至65000美元,属于判断是否达到某个数值的阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?price_gt_0_9
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.034\", \"0.966\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies", "outcome_prices": [0.034, 0.966], "max_price": 0.966}
Spread: Suns (-1.5)price_gt_0_9
Spread: Suns (-1.5)price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliestopic_sports
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliestopic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题涉及森林狼队与灰熊队的体育赛事,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsprice_gt_0_9
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?price_gt_0_9
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.04\", \"0.96\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.04, 0.96], "max_price": 0.96}
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?price_gt_0_9
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9985\", \"0.0015\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?", "outcome_prices": [0.9985, 0.0015], "max_price": 0.9985}
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?price_gt_0_9
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0625\", \"0.9375\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0625, 0.9375], "max_price": 0.9375}
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 210.5price_gt_0_9
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 210.5price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?numeric_threshold
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?numeric_threshold
盘口快照
"[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"该问题询问比特币是否达到90000美元的阈值,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0065, 0.9935], "max_price": 0.9935}
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)price_gt_0_9
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.0435\", \"0.9565\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0435, 0.9565], "max_price": 0.9565}
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
"[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.075, 0.925], "max_price": 0.925}
Open Sud de France: Mackenzie McDonald vs Aleksandar Kovacevictopic_sports
Open Sud de France: Mackenzie McDonald vs Aleksandar Kovacevictopic_sports
盘口快照
"[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]"
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及Open Sud de France网球赛事中Mackenzie McDonald与Aleksandar Kovacevic的对阵,属于体育话题"}
will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-february-2026numeric_threshold
will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-february-2026numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测比特币是否跌到7万美元,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
bitcoin-above-88k-on-february-2price_gt_0_9
bitcoin-above-88k-on-february-2price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-february-2numeric_metric
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-february-2numeric_metric
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"metric","reason":"问题主要预测比特币价格(属于指标型中的股价类量化指标)在2月2日的涨跌情况,符合指标型排除条件"}
will-the-government-shutdown-last-10-days-or-more-772price_gt_0_9
will-the-government-shutdown-last-10-days-or-more-772price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.055, 0.945], "max_price": 0.945}
bitcoin-above-90k-on-february-2price_gt_0_9
bitcoin-above-90k-on-february-2price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
will-the-government-shutdown-last-60-days-or-more-286-461-927-735-666price_gt_0_9
will-the-government-shutdown-last-60-days-or-more-286-461-927-735-666price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?", "outcome_prices": [0.0055, 0.9945], "max_price": 0.9945}
will-the-logan-paul-1st-edition-charizard-sale-price-be-over-600k-366price_gt_0_9
will-the-logan-paul-1st-edition-charizard-sale-price-be-over-600k-366price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?", "outcome_prices": [0.9825, 0.0175], "max_price": 0.9825}
nba-okc-den-2026-02-01-spread-away-7pt5price_gt_0_9
nba-okc-den-2026-02-01-spread-away-7pt5price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
lol-sk-mkoi-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
lol-sk-mkoi-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-31-february-2-40-64price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-31-february-2-40-64price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.012, 0.988], "max_price": 0.988}
will-the-government-shutdown-last-30-days-or-more-558-354-297-785-675price_gt_0_9
will-the-government-shutdown-last-30-days-or-more-558-354-297-785-675price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?", "outcome_prices": [0.0155, 0.9845], "max_price": 0.9845}
will-the-government-shutdown-last-14-days-or-more-343-693-775-861-153price_gt_0_9
will-the-government-shutdown-last-14-days-or-more-343-693-775-861-153price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?", "outcome_prices": [0.033, 0.967], "max_price": 0.967}
will-the-government-shutdown-last-7-days-or-more-188-769-669-728numeric_threshold
will-the-government-shutdown-last-7-days-or-more-188-769-669-728numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"该问题是判断政府停摆时长是否达到7天的阈值,属于需要排除的阈值/比较型问题"}
lal-rea-ray-2026-02-01-drawprice_gt_0_9
lal-rea-ray-2026-02-01-drawprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-580-599price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-580-599price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
nba-chi-mia-2026-02-01-total-235pt5numeric_threshold
nba-chi-mia-2026-02-01-total-235pt5numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测Bulls vs. Heat比赛总分是否超过或低于235.5,属于阈值/比较型"}
will-bitcoin-dip-to-75k-in-february-2026numeric_threshold
will-bitcoin-dip-to-75k-in-february-2026numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测比特币是否跌到$75,000,属于阈值/比较型"}
over-20m-committed-to-the-hurupay-public-sale-359-571price_gt_0_9
over-20m-committed-to-the-hurupay-public-sale-359-571price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2)", "outcome_prices": [0.065, 0.935], "max_price": 0.935}
crint-lka-gbr-2026-02-01topic_sports
crint-lka-gbr-2026-02-01topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及国际T20板球系列赛,属于体育话题,符合排除范围"}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-620-639price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-620-639price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
epl-tot-mac-2026-02-01-tottopic_sports
epl-tot-mac-2026-02-01-tottopic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及体育赛事(托特纳姆热刺FC的比赛结果预测),属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
nhl-las-ana-2026-02-01topic_sports
nhl-las-ana-2026-02-01topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及体育赛事(Golden Knights与Ducks的冰球比赛),属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
ethereum-above-2400-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
ethereum-above-2400-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Senators vs. Hurricanes", "outcome_prices": [0.008, 0.992], "max_price": 0.992}
will-train-dreams-win-best-picture-at-the-98th-academy-awards-736price_gt_0_9
will-train-dreams-win-best-picture-at-the-98th-academy-awards-736price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Senators vs. Hurricanes", "outcome_prices": [0.0055, 0.9945], "max_price": 0.9945}
will-the-us-next-strike-iran-in-january-2026-etprice_gt_0_9
will-the-us-next-strike-iran-in-january-2026-etprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Senators vs. Hurricanes", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-30-february-6-160-179price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-30-february-6-160-179price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Senators vs. Hurricanes", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
nhl-ott-car-2026-02-03topic_sports
nhl-ott-car-2026-02-03topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及Senators与Hurricanes的比赛,二者均为体育赛事中的球队,属于体育话题"}
fr2-tro-lmf-2026-01-31-troprice_gt_0_9
fr2-tro-lmf-2026-01-31-troprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
will-microstrategy-announce-a-bitcoin-purchase-january-27-february-2price_gt_0_9
will-microstrategy-announce-a-bitcoin-purchase-january-27-february-2price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5", "outcome_prices": [0.968, 0.032], "max_price": 0.968}
nba-orl-sas-2026-02-01-total-225pt5numeric_threshold
nba-orl-sas-2026-02-01-total-225pt5numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"该问题是预测比赛总分是否超过225.5的阈值比较型问题,符合需要排除的阈值/比较型情况"}
epl-mun-ful-2026-02-01-drawprice_gt_0_9
epl-mun-ful-2026-02-01-drawprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
will-bitcoin-dip-to-60k-in-february-2026numeric_threshold
will-bitcoin-dip-to-60k-in-february-2026numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题询问比特币是否会跌到60000美元,属于阈值/比较型问题,符合排除条件"}
will-trn-thanh-mn-be-the-next-president-of-vietnamprice_gt_0_9
will-trn-thanh-mn-be-the-next-president-of-vietnamprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Transylvania Open: Camila Osorio vs Jaqueline Cristian", "outcome_prices": [0.0395, 0.9605], "max_price": 0.9605}
wta-osorio-cristia-2026-02-01topic_sports
wta-osorio-cristia-2026-02-01topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题是关于Transylvania Open网球赛事中选手对决的内容,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
will-the-us-collect-less-than-100b-in-revenue-in-2025numeric_threshold
will-the-us-collect-less-than-100b-in-revenue-in-2025numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测美国2025年财政收入是否低于1000亿美元,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
bitcoin-above-82k-on-february-2price_gt_0_9
bitcoin-above-82k-on-february-2price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification: Hailey Baptiste vs Teodora Kostovic", "outcome_prices": [0.068, 0.932], "max_price": 0.932}
wta-baptist-kostovi-2026-01-31topic_sports
wta-baptist-kostovi-2026-01-31topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题是关于Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open资格赛的体育赛事内容,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
will-the-liberal-democratic-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-japanese-general-electionprice_gt_0_9
will-the-liberal-democratic-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-japanese-general-electionprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5", "outcome_prices": [0.9905, 0.0095], "max_price": 0.9905}
epl-not-cry-2026-02-01-cryprice_gt_0_9
epl-not-cry-2026-02-01-cryprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
cs2-fal2-aur1-2026-02-01-game1price_gt_0_9
cs2-fal2-aur1-2026-02-01-game1price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
nfl-sea-ne-2026-02-08-total-46pt5numeric_threshold
nfl-sea-ne-2026-02-08-total-46pt5numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"该问题是预测比赛总得分是否超过或低于46.5的阈值/比较型问题"}
us-strikes-iran-by-february-4-2026price_gt_0_9
us-strikes-iran-by-february-4-2026price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5", "outcome_prices": [0.0485, 0.9515], "max_price": 0.9515}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-500-519price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-500-519price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5", "outcome_prices": [0.003, 0.997], "max_price": 0.997}
cs2-mouz-nrg-2026-02-01-game1price_gt_0_9
cs2-mouz-nrg-2026-02-01-game1price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
cs2-mouz-nrg-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
cs2-mouz-nrg-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
nba-mil-bos-2026-02-01-total-216pt5numeric_threshold
nba-mil-bos-2026-02-01-total-216pt5numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"该问题是预测两队总分是否超过/低于216.5的阈值比较型问题,符合排除条件中的阈值/比较型"}
nhl-lak-car-2026-02-01topic_sports
nhl-lak-car-2026-02-01topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及体育赛事(Kings与Hurricanes为冰球队伍,属于体育话题)"}
will-khamenei-leave-iran-by-march-31-224-161-138-998price_gt_0_9
will-khamenei-leave-iran-by-march-31-224-161-138-998price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.07, 0.93], "max_price": 0.93}
cs2-fal2-aur1-2026-02-01-game2price_gt_0_9
cs2-fal2-aur1-2026-02-01-game2price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-440-459price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-440-459price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0205, 0.9795], "max_price": 0.9795}
will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-february-28price_gt_0_9
will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-february-28price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.045, 0.955], "max_price": 0.955}
will-china-invade-taiwan-by-march-31-2026price_gt_0_9
will-china-invade-taiwan-by-march-31-2026price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0155, 0.9845], "max_price": 0.9845}
sea-tor-lec-2026-02-01-torprice_gt_0_9
sea-tor-lec-2026-02-01-torprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
will-the-ecb-announce-a-50-bps-decrease-at-the-february-2026-meetingprice_gt_0_9
will-the-ecb-announce-a-50-bps-decrease-at-the-february-2026-meetingprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
bun-stu-fre-2026-02-01-stuprice_gt_0_9
bun-stu-fre-2026-02-01-stuprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
bun-dor-hei-2026-02-01-dortopic_sports
bun-dor-hei-2026-02-01-dortopic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及体育赛事(BV Borussia 09 Dortmund的比赛结果预测),属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
will-the-government-shutdown-last-60-days-or-more-286-461-927-735price_gt_0_9
will-the-government-shutdown-last-60-days-or-more-286-461-927-735price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.01, 0.99], "max_price": 0.99}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-540-559price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-540-559price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
lol-al-tes-2026-02-01-game2price_gt_0_9
lol-al-tes-2026-02-01-game2price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-360-379numeric_threshold
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-360-379numeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测Elon Musk在特定时间段内发推数量是否处于360-379的区间,属于阈值/比较型,符合排除条件"}
us-strikes-iran-by-february-3-2026price_gt_0_9
us-strikes-iran-by-february-3-2026price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A", "outcome_prices": [0.037, 0.963], "max_price": 0.963}
will-bitcoin-reach-150k-in-february-2026price_gt_0_9
will-bitcoin-reach-150k-in-february-2026price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A", "outcome_prices": [0.0045, 0.9955], "max_price": 0.9955}
cs2-prv-ast10-2026-02-01topic_sports
cs2-prv-ast10-2026-02-01topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题是关于Counter-Strike的比赛预测,Counter-Strike相关比赛属于体育范畴,符合排除范围"}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-30-february-6-100-119price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-30-february-6-100-119price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
will-the-government-shutdown-last-5-days-or-morenumeric_threshold
will-the-government-shutdown-last-5-days-or-morenumeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是判断政府停摆是否持续5天或更久,属于阈值/比较型问题"}
lol-shft-navi-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
lol-shft-navi-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?", "outcome_prices": [0.08, 0.92], "max_price": 0.92}
nhl-lak-cbj-2026-01-26topic_sports
nhl-lak-cbj-2026-01-26topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题涉及Kings与Blue Jackets的体育赛事(冰球比赛),属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
nba-uta-tor-2026-02-01topic_sports
nba-uta-tor-2026-02-01topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题涉及体育赛事(爵士队 vs 猛龙队),属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
will-the-us-next-strike-iran-on-february-1-2026-etprice_gt_0_9
will-the-us-next-strike-iran-on-february-1-2026-etprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?", "outcome_prices": [0.013, 0.987], "max_price": 0.987}
megaeth-market-cap-fdv-1b-one-day-after-launch-gj9enumeric_threshold
megaeth-market-cap-fdv-1b-one-day-after-launch-gj9enumeric_threshold
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"threshold","reason":"问题是预测MegaETH市值(指标型)是否超过10亿美元(阈值型),符合需排除的条件"}
epl-mun-ful-2026-02-01-fulprice_gt_0_9
epl-mun-ful-2026-02-01-fulprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
epl-ast-bre-2026-02-01-breprice_gt_0_9
epl-ast-bre-2026-02-01-breprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
will-bitcoin-reach-92k-january-26-1price_gt_0_9
will-bitcoin-reach-92k-january-26-1price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
cs2-furia-mglz-2026-02-01topic_sports
cs2-furia-mglz-2026-02-01topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及Counter-Strike(反恐精英)的电竞赛事,属于体育范畴,符合排除条件"}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-280-299price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-280-299price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Nets vs. Pistons", "outcome_prices": [0.0025, 0.9975], "max_price": 0.9975}
nba-bkn-det-2026-02-01topic_sports
nba-bkn-det-2026-02-01topic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及体育赛事(Nets vs. Pistons为篮球比赛对阵双方),属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
lal-bet-val-2026-02-01-bettopic_sports
lal-bet-val-2026-02-01-bettopic_sports
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及体育赛事(Real Betis Balompié的比赛结果预测),属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
lol-al-tes-2026-02-01-game1price_gt_0_9
lol-al-tes-2026-02-01-game1price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
lal-rea-ray-2026-02-01-rayprice_gt_0_9
lal-rea-ray-2026-02-01-rayprice_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
bitcoin-above-88k-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
bitcoin-above-88k-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
us-anti-cartel-ground-operation-in-mexico-by-january-31price_gt_0_9
us-anti-cartel-ground-operation-in-mexico-by-january-31price_gt_0_9
盘口快照
-
排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?", "outcome_prices": [0.9275, 0.0725], "max_price": 0.9275}
will-the-government-shutdown-last-30-days-or-more-558-354-297-785price_gt_0_9
will-the-government-shutdown-last-30-days-or-more-558-354-297-785price_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?", "outcome_prices": [0.0235, 0.9765], "max_price": 0.9765}
bitcoin-above-82k-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
bitcoin-above-82k-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
lol-al-tes-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
lol-al-tes-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
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{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
cs2-fut-g2-2026-02-01topic_sports
cs2-fut-g2-2026-02-01topic_sports
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及Counter-Strike的电竞比赛,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-260-279price_gt_0_9
elon-musk-of-tweets-january-27-february-3-260-279price_gt_0_9
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{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Thunder vs. Nuggets", "outcome_prices": [0.0015, 0.9985], "max_price": 0.9985}
bitcoin-above-84k-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
bitcoin-above-84k-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Thunder vs. Nuggets", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
nba-okc-den-2026-02-01topic_sports
nba-okc-den-2026-02-01topic_sports
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题是关于雷霆队与掘金队的体育赛事,属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
fl1-lyo-lil-2026-02-01-lyoprice_gt_0_9
fl1-lyo-lil-2026-02-01-lyoprice_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Kings vs. Wizards", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-february-1price_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Kings vs. Wizards", "outcome_prices": [0.0025, 0.9975], "max_price": 0.9975}
nba-sac-was-2026-02-01topic_sports
nba-sac-was-2026-02-01topic_sports
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"该问题涉及体育比赛(国王队对阵奇才队),属于排除范围中的体育话题"}
epl-tot-mac-2026-02-01-mactopic_sports
epl-tot-mac-2026-02-01-mactopic_sports
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及Manchester City FC的赛事结果预测,属于体育话题,符合排除范围"}
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-february-28-2026price_gt_0_9
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-february-28-2026price_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?", "outcome_prices": [0.045, 0.955], "max_price": 0.955}
will-antnio-jos-seguro-win-the-2026-portugal-presidential-electionprice_gt_0_9
will-antnio-jos-seguro-win-the-2026-portugal-presidential-electionprice_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?", "outcome_prices": [0.9905, 0.0095], "max_price": 0.9905}
epl-mun-ful-2026-02-01-munprice_gt_0_9
epl-mun-ful-2026-02-01-munprice_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.9995, 0.0005], "max_price": 0.9995}
nba-den-mem-2026-01-25topic_sports
nba-den-mem-2026-01-25topic_sports
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及Nuggets(丹佛掘金队)与Grizzlies(孟菲斯灰熊队)的体育赛事,属于体育话题"}
cs2-fal2-aur1-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
cs2-fal2-aur1-2026-02-01price_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.0005, 0.9995], "max_price": 0.9995}
us-strikes-iran-by-february-6-2026-242-933-289-312-673-611-155-294price_gt_0_9
us-strikes-iran-by-february-6-2026-242-933-289-312-673-611-155-294price_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?", "outcome_prices": [0.095, 0.905], "max_price": 0.905}
will-the-new-england-patriots-win-super-bowl-2026topic_sports
will-the-new-england-patriots-win-super-bowl-2026topic_sports
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"excluded":true,"category":"sports","reason":"问题涉及体育赛事(新英格兰爱国者队是否赢得2026年超级碗属于体育话题)"}
will-antnio-jos-seguro-win-the-second-round-by-1520price_gt_0_9
will-antnio-jos-seguro-win-the-second-round-by-1520price_gt_0_9
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排除证据(raw_response)
{"rule": "price_gt_0_9", "question": "Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?", "outcome_prices": [0.0345, 0.9655], "max_price": 0.9655}